Tag Archive | "support and resistance"

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Trading Tools


I just want to touch on the tools that I am using to trade the 15 min chart, this style of trading is based around support and resistance. The tools I am using are

  1. Pivot Points
  2. Horizontal support and resistance which is based on previous highs and lows
  3. Candlestick patterns
  4. Daily open

I am primarily watching how price reacts to the pivots and previous areas of support and resistance.  If i identify a rejection of a level by a reversal pattern or price momentum away from the area I will initiate a trade.  I simply use the next level of S and R or the next pivot point for my target.

This is a very simple trading method and is amazing just how effective it is. Over night saw some great examples of this style of trading and just how effective it can be.  Notice on the chart below how price moved between these areas.

click image for larger view

One of the great things about this type of trading is you don’t have to sit at the screen all day.  You can set up alerts from your platform to your phone that let you know when price is near any of these points.  I give it 20 pips before the Pivot Point as a rule, this gives me plenty of time to get to my screen and get a handle on the price action and prepare for a possible trade.

Perry


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Support and Resistance Trading Part II


Most times  when discussing support and resistance we are generally referring to horizontal areas where price has tested a level previously and generally more than once.  There are many other forms of support and resistance that speculators need to take into consideration, some of these are:

  1. Moving averages
  2. Pivot points (floor pivots)
  3. Trend lines
  4. Fibonacci levels
  5. Round number levels

Lets now look at these and how they could be used effectively in our trading.

Moving Averages

Moving averages can be used effectively in both a trending environment and also in mean revision environment.

Moving averages can be excellent forms of support and resistance. If you look at any price chart and overlay a moving average just watch how price is drawn back to the MA and also how often when touched or just breached it then reverses and moves away again.  One use of these MA’s is that they work quite well in many situations as a trailing stop.  This is because they are a great form of  support and resistance and if it doesn’t hold then it is a great time to take profits. It is much easier to show this in a chart so have a look at this chart and see just how well this can work.

Support and Resistance Trading Using a Moving Average

click image for larger view

Pivot Points

Pivot points or floor pivots as they are often referred to are also excellent forms of support and resistance.  These pivot points have been around for a very long time and have been used by floor traders for just as long.  These points are  a nice simple way for traders to have some idea of where the market is heading during the course of the day with only a few simple calculations.  All you need is the markets previous days high, low and closing price. The calculations I use to get these points are-

Resistance 3 = High + 2*(Pivot – Low)
Resistance 2 = Pivot + (R1 – S1)
Resistance 1 = 2 * Pivot – Low
Pivot Point = ( High + Close + Low )/3
Support 1 = 2 * Pivot – High
Support 2 = Pivot – (R1 – S1)
Support 3 = Low – 2*(High – Pivot)

But there is a much easier way to calculate these levels and that is to get them from one of the many sites on the web that publish them every day, a good one that I  found is  HERE .  The reason that so many of these levels hold is quite simply that a lot of other traders are using the same methods and when you get enough people with the same opinion then the market moves in their favor.  Pivots are great places to both enter the market and take profits depending on each individual situation.   As always a picture is worth a thousand words and the following chart displays a good example of floor pivots acting as support and resistance.

Pivot Points used in Support and Resistance Trading

click image for larger view

In the above image I am using a custom Pivot indicator that redraws the pivots each day for Meta Trader, if anyone would like a copy please contact me through my contact page and I will send you a copy.  It is quite obvious in the above chart just how well these Pivot Points do work.

Trend Lines

Trend lines much like moving averages are excellent forms of support and resistance as well, they also are an excellent tool to use as a trailing stop.  This chart demonstrates this well.

Trend Lines at work with Support and Resistance Trading

click image for larger view

Fibonacci

Fibonacci has been around since the dark ages and is a tool that is used regularly by many traders.  There are many Fibonacci tools out there,  these include retracements, extensions, arcs, fans and cycles. I personally only have used retracements and extensions in my trading so I will only discuss these here. All good charting packages come equipped with these tools and are easy to use.  I won’t go to much into explaining Fibonacci, if  you want to know more just search the net or you could check out Neal Hughes’s  course on Fibonacci trading which is quite good. These levels are quite effective and can be used on all time frames.

Fibonacci levels are great support and resistance indicators

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50% fibonacci level acting as support and resistance

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Round Numbers

All humans seem to have a natural affinity to round numbers and anything ending in 00 or to a lesser extent 50 , these can be effective levels of Support and Resistance.  When looking at any chart just draw some lines at these levels and note how price reacts, it is amazing just how many times price reverses at them.  Please note that again you are looking to this level as a general area as all traders know this and thus place there orders either side of these round numbers and thus price can be seen to spike through them sometimes and then reverse.  Check out this chart for an example of this at work.

Round numbers acting as support and resistance Trading

click image for larger view

So as you can see Support and resistance comes in many forms and used correctly can define areas where traders can enter the market, take profits and also gives a logical place to put your stops. I believe for all technical traders Support and Resistance trading should play a major role in there trading plan.

Perry

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Support and Resistance Trading


support and resistance trading chart

Support and Resistance  is a very effective tool for finding and locating turning points in the market.  New highs and lows are points where all traders should be extremely cautious and observe how price reacts to these areas. They are excellent places for traders to both enter or exit a market depending on the individual situation.

The example above  shows just how effective this  is.  Lets walk through this chart and identify opportunities to (a) enter trades and (b) exit trades.   Starting from the far left of the chart you can see that the USD/JPY is in a solid down trend,  you can see that when it reaches the point I have marked “First Test” , that price forms a bullish reversal pattern.   This alone is not a big deal, but when price retests the same level and forms a large pin bar rejection candle,  as it did at the point I have marked “Second Test”,  it is time to take notice.

Price,  if observed closely can reveal small clues like these leading to its future direction.  In the above example the pin bar for me would be a solid confirmation that this area is now support and a good time to (a) exit any short positions we are currently holding and (b) seriously consider taking up a  long position.  These Support areas also supply us with key information as to a great place to position our stops, directly below the support line.

Top and bottom picking can be a very tough game, but when we capture one of these moves the rewards can be phenomenal.  These types of trades are not for everyone and would be considered by some as a fairly aggressive entry.  The more conservative trader can still use support and resistance in there trading, the next example on the chart is just one of these examples.

Resistance when broken  becomes support and vice versa.  In the above example you can see where price didn’t even hesitate as it just punched clean past the previous high,  which we would be watching closely to see how price reacts. This swing  high is considered to be previous resistance and when price doesn’t hesitate at this area and keeps going,  this is an another good spot to consider entering the market.

The only problem with this type of entry is that a stop point is not as obvious.  It could be placed safely under the old support under the pin bar that we previously identified.  The problem with this is that we have a huge stop and our position size is dramatically reduced.  Our second choice is somewhere below the resistance that was broken at the previous high.

Now if for example we are an extremely conservative trader and we didn’t like either of the two entries that have already been identified,  then we can just wait for something that meets our criteria.  If we follow price some more, an example of just such an opportunity presents itself.   Price after punching through the previous high runs up some more and then starts to retrace.  when price forms a bullish reversal pattern like the one I have marked “Change of Polarity” it is time for the conservative trader to take action.  It is at this point that there is enough information that the scales  have been tipped for even the most conservative traders to take up a position.  Now lets just identify exactly what that evidence is that has tipped these scales.

  • Price formed initial support at the point marked “test 1″.
  • Support formed and confirmed by the double bottom pattern formation at “Test 2″.
  • Strong candlestick reversal patterns formed at these support points.
  • Price thrusting through previous highs with good momentum.
  • Price forming a strong candlestick reversal pattern at previous resistance levels confirming a change of polarity.

This  “change of polarity” pattern appears in the charts time and time again.  It is an excellent place to enter the market that stacks the odds in your favor and also identifies an ideal spot to position your stop order.

Support and Resistance should have a place in every technical traders tool box, these are just some of the ways that you could take advantage of the opportunities that support and resistance trading can present to you.

Perry

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